Population and
Sustainable Development

Phase 3 - developing and analysing alternatives

  1. If modelling work is being initiated, have we considered carefully the nature of the policy conclusions the modelling will need to support? Will the model have the flexibility to easily vary key population parameters to test the sensitivity of results?
  2. Is the data set of sufficient size to permit analysis at the level of disaggregation being attempted (eg by age, sex, ethnicity, labour force status)?
  3. Do we need to refer to specific guidelines for developing policy for particular population groups (eg gender analysis, Pacific Peoples’ perspectives, and Ethnic Peoples’ perspectives)?
  4. Do we need to conduct sensitivity analysis for different policy-relevant sub-groups?
  5. How are we allowing for possible behavioural changes, and for incidence-shifting, in estimating the response of service groups and others to policy changes? Do we need to consider the impacts of previous policy changes and the responses of sub-groups to those changes?
  6. Do we need to estimate the impacts of changes on both standard and relevant non-standard sub-groups of the population? For instance, low-income working families in addition to the usual categories of age, sex, and ethnicity? Do we need to consider possible impacts on particularly vulnerable groups?
  7. Do we need to consider ways of mitigating adverse impacts on sub-groups by varying the policy or service delivery mode?
  8. What are the possible system-wide, cross-sectoral, and long-term behavioural effects of policy or service delivery changes?
  9. Have we considered how the impacts of the policy or service change will be monitored and evaluated?
Population Statistics Unit | Statistics New Zealand Statistics House,

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